Falchion Case
Estimated return of 63.5% on every open — a 36.5% house edge at live Skinport prices.
Estimated RTP 63.5%
House edge 36.5%
Cost to open $4.50
key $2.49 + case $2.01
Chance to profit 7.3%
Most valuable drops
Rare Special ★ Falchion Knife | Fade $322.79
Rare Special ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened $266.90
Rare Special ★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter $202.91
Rare Special ★ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel $187.67
Rare Special ★ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web $148.65
What's inside & the odds
Mil-Spec Grade
79.9%- Galil AR | Rocket Pop $2.35
- Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner $2.57
- Nova | Ranger $0.87
- P90 | Elite Build $0.97
- UMP-45 | Riot $0.89
- USP-S | Torque $1.60
Restricted
16.0%- FAMAS | Neural Net $3.22
- M4A4 | Evil Daimyo $6.74
- MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart $3.24
- Negev | Loudmouth $1.56
- P2000 | Handgun $3.04
Classified
3.2%- CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket $6.35
- MP7 | Nemesis $14.17
- SG 553 | Cyrex $8.30
Covert
0.6%- AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge $66.04
- AWP | Hyper Beast $55.09
Rare Special
0.3%- ★ Falchion Knife $145.95
- ★ Falchion Knife | Fade $322.79
- ★ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web $148.65
- ★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter $202.91
- ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened $266.90
- ★ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked $84.52
- ★ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel $187.67
- ★ Falchion Knife | Night $79.28
- ★ Falchion Knife | Stained $77.00
- ★ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT $70.34
- ★ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest $81.91
- ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched $67.58
- ★ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh $68.62
Source: ByMykel CSGO-API · updated Oct 20, 2026 stale
Source: Skinport · updated Nov 8, 2026
Falchion Case FAQ
What are the odds of a knife or glove from the Falchion Case?
The Rare Special tier (knives and gloves) has a 0.3% drop chance, per Valve's official odds.
Is the Falchion Case worth opening?
On our estimate the Falchion Case returns about 63.5% of what you put in (a 36.5% house edge), using live Skinport prices. Like all cases, it is a losing bet on average.
How much does it cost to open the Falchion Case?
About $4.50 per open: a $2.49 key plus the case at $2.01.