Fever Case
Estimated return of 44.8% on every open — a 55.2% house edge at live Skinport prices.
Estimated RTP 44.8%
House edge 55.2%
Cost to open $3.89
key $2.49 + case $1.40
Chance to profit 4.1%
Most valuable drops
Rare Special ★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler $586.72
Rare Special ★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler $586.72
Rare Special ★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler $586.72
Rare Special ★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler $586.72
Rare Special ★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler $586.72
What's inside & the odds
Mil-Spec Grade
79.9%- M4A4 | Choppa $0.50
- MAG-7 | Resupply $0.17
- SSG 08 | Memorial $0.43
- P2000 | Sure Grip $0.20
- USP-S | PC-GRN $0.38
- MP9 | Nexus $0.21
- XM1014 | Mockingbird $0.19
Restricted
16.0%- Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike $1.04
- Zeus x27 | Tosai $1.18
- Nova | Rising Sun $1.02
- Galil AR | Control $1.19
- P90 | Wave Breaker $1.31
Classified
3.2%- AK-47 | Searing Rage $8.33
- Glock-18 | Shinobu $9.81
- UMP-45 | K.O. Factory $6.74
Covert
0.6%- FAMAS | Bad Trip $55.26
- AWP | Printstream $70.68
Rare Special
0.3%- ★ Survival Knife $109.17
- ★ Survival Knife | Marble Fade $133.15
- ★ Survival Knife | Tiger Tooth $114.13
- ★ Survival Knife | Doppler $201.98
- ★ Survival Knife | Doppler $201.98
- ★ Survival Knife | Doppler $201.98
- ★ Survival Knife | Doppler $201.98
- ★ Survival Knife | Doppler $201.98
- ★ Survival Knife | Doppler $201.98
- ★ Survival Knife | Doppler $201.98
- ★ Survival Knife | Damascus Steel $78.30
- ★ Survival Knife | Ultraviolet $67.62
- ★ Survival Knife | Rust Coat $50.65
- ★ Skeleton Knife $271.36
- ★ Skeleton Knife | Marble Fade $357.16
- ★ Skeleton Knife | Tiger Tooth $311.10
- ★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler $586.72
- ★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler $586.72
- ★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler $586.72
- ★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler $586.72
- ★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler $586.72
- ★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler $586.72
- ★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler $586.72
- ★ Skeleton Knife | Damascus Steel $198.85
- ★ Skeleton Knife | Ultraviolet $183.70
- ★ Skeleton Knife | Rust Coat $131.03
- ★ Paracord Knife $114.18
- ★ Paracord Knife | Marble Fade $138.79
- ★ Paracord Knife | Tiger Tooth $114.90
- ★ Paracord Knife | Doppler $217.55
- ★ Paracord Knife | Doppler $217.55
- ★ Paracord Knife | Doppler $217.55
- ★ Paracord Knife | Doppler $217.55
- ★ Paracord Knife | Doppler $217.55
- ★ Paracord Knife | Doppler $217.55
- ★ Paracord Knife | Doppler $217.55
- ★ Paracord Knife | Damascus Steel $64.08
- ★ Paracord Knife | Ultraviolet $76.48
- ★ Paracord Knife | Rust Coat $55.66
- ★ Nomad Knife $179.50
- ★ Nomad Knife | Marble Fade $227.52
- ★ Nomad Knife | Tiger Tooth $203.46
- ★ Nomad Knife | Doppler $352.65
- ★ Nomad Knife | Doppler $352.65
- ★ Nomad Knife | Doppler $352.65
- ★ Nomad Knife | Doppler $352.65
- ★ Nomad Knife | Doppler $352.65
- ★ Nomad Knife | Doppler $352.65
- ★ Nomad Knife | Doppler $352.65
- ★ Nomad Knife | Damascus Steel $129.30
- ★ Nomad Knife | Ultraviolet $122.91
- ★ Nomad Knife | Rust Coat $102.60
Source: ByMykel CSGO-API · updated Oct 20, 2026 stale
Source: Skinport · updated Nov 8, 2026
Fever Case FAQ
What are the odds of a knife or glove from the Fever Case?
The Rare Special tier (knives and gloves) has a 0.3% drop chance, per Valve's official odds.
Is the Fever Case worth opening?
On our estimate the Fever Case returns about 44.8% of what you put in (a 55.2% house edge), using live Skinport prices. Like all cases, it is a losing bet on average.
How much does it cost to open the Fever Case?
About $3.89 per open: a $2.49 key plus the case at $1.40.