Recoil Case
Estimated return of 39.4% on every open — a 60.6% house edge at live Skinport prices.
Estimated RTP 39.4%
House edge 60.6%
Cost to open $3.20
key $2.49 + case $0.71
Chance to profit 4.1%
Most valuable drops
Rare Special ★ Sport Gloves | Nocts $628.73
Rare Special ★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot $390.22
Rare Special ★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard $315.55
Rare Special ★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh $208.59
Rare Special ★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade $181.63
What's inside & the odds
Mil-Spec Grade
79.9%- FAMAS | Meow 36 $0.36
- Galil AR | Destroyer $0.23
- M4A4 | Poly Mag $0.39
- MAC-10 | Monkeyflage $0.26
- Negev | Drop Me $0.18
- UMP-45 | Roadblock $0.19
- Glock-18 | Winterized $0.33
Restricted
16.0%- R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 $1.08
- M249 | Downtown $0.75
- SG 553 | Dragon Tech $0.86
- P90 | Vent Rush $0.77
- Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora $1.22
Classified
3.2%- AK-47 | Ice Coaled $7.22
- P250 | Visions $5.35
- Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love $5.49
Covert
0.6%- USP-S | Printstream $52.03
- AWP | Chromatic Aberration $38.69
Rare Special
0.3%- ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded $87.80
- ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged $74.19
- ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point $57.53
- ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade $97.43
- ★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard $315.55
- ★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie $171.62
- ★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red $94.22
- ★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar $74.44
- ★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! $138.78
- ★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe $63.96
- ★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor $62.78
- ★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh $47.88
- ★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure $142.65
- ★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out $140.22
- ★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line $103.31
- ★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company $74.33
- ★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent $146.20
- ★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike $181.34
- ★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander $118.33
- ★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade $181.63
- ★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot $390.22
- ★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh $208.59
- ★ Sport Gloves | Nocts $628.73
- ★ Sport Gloves | Big Game $158.44
Source: ByMykel CSGO-API · updated Oct 20, 2026 stale
Source: Skinport · updated Nov 8, 2026
Recoil Case FAQ
What are the odds of a knife or glove from the Recoil Case?
The Rare Special tier (knives and gloves) has a 0.3% drop chance, per Valve's official odds.
Is the Recoil Case worth opening?
On our estimate the Recoil Case returns about 39.4% of what you put in (a 60.6% house edge), using live Skinport prices. Like all cases, it is a losing bet on average.
How much does it cost to open the Recoil Case?
About $3.20 per open: a $2.49 key plus the case at $0.71.